Naive-Mountain
0x00c283c85c71f658af662912705a33299ae51be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$294.68
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Chesterfield FC win on 2026-03-28?
1454 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$1.5K
$930.56
- OVER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5
693 shares @ 28.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$693.00
$498.27
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
1269 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$634.50
$0.00
- OVER
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
476 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$476.00
$423.64
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1154 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$380.82
$-34.62
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
358 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$351.74
$72.50
- YES
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
258 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$258.00
$224.46
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
278 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.86
$16.68
- UNDER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 4.5
43 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$43.00
$4.34
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
513 shares @ 32.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.98
$-155.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$231.42Apr 27, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$225.18Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$93.96Apr 21, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$187.92Apr 21, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$323.11Apr 21, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$281.96Apr 21, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$234.84Apr 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$543.00Apr 21, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$341.64Apr 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$125.01Apr 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$21.06Apr 21, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$196.56Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$220.74Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$274.03Apr 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chesterfield FC win on 2026-03-28?$264.24Apr 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chesterfield FC win on 2026-03-28?$259.20Apr 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$54.81Apr 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$371.28Apr 13, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$254.28Apr 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$16.38Apr 13, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $232.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".