Honest-Secret
0x014b4dc8a2bca23a6cd011cf9b593a8ed1312030
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$300.23
Total PnL
$-70.77
Realised
$9.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
93 shares @ 37.8¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.77
$29.77
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
130 shares @ 19.5¢·now 39.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.80
$26.45
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
383 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.98
$-9.05
- YES
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
120 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.60
$2.40
- YES
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
150 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.00
$1.50
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
28 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$17.95
$-0.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
55 shares @ 63.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.77
$-17.88
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.25
$-3.67
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
20 shares @ 73.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.90
$1.18
- NO
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?
38 shares @ 79.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.25
$-17.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Timberwolves$12.00May 16, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$10.29May 16, 02:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$3.87May 15, 14:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$6.13May 13, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $4 before 2027?$5.06May 12, 22:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$47.55May 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$45.46May 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$50.20May 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$51.27May 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$37.66May 11, 14:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $15.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".