Scarce-Goal
0x015bbfe97a2437236f89248a5862465e048c5bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$138.82
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-23.08
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 23?
55 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$52.20
$2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?
59 shares @ 84.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$44.66
$-5.34
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
73 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 22?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-2.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 7?
104 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?
72 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?
59 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 22?$60.04May 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 22?$10.36May 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 22?$10.32May 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 23?$50.21May 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?$50.39May 21, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 22?$50.42May 21, 10:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?$53.28May 20, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?$56.18May 20, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 18?$61.60May 20, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?$52.63May 20, 23:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 17?$52.11May 17, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?$53.47May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 19?$50.15May 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?$20.62May 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 19?$80.36May 17, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $39.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".