Harmless-Baseball
0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$99.2K
Total PnL
$-88.3K
Realised
$8.5K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
59000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.6K
$8.1K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
59000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.4K
$-8.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
23673 shares @ 20.5¢·now 34.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.1K
$3.3K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
6458 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.4K
$121.27
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
6000 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.8K
$98.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?
3997 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.0K
$2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
7515 shares @ 15.9¢·now 48.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.6K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
3351 shares @ 87.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$115.41
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
2177 shares @ 67.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.9K
$469.26
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2915 shares @ 66.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$-189.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$209.89May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.68May 18, 03:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.27May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$7.89May 18, 00:14 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$59.0KMay 17, 22:43 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$64.0KMay 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.37May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$20.79May 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.58May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$231.34May 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.21May 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$150.71May 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.1KMay 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$681.80May 17, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$97.40May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$374.62May 17, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.1KMay 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$325.04May 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$904.98May 17, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $280.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".