Villainous-Causal
0x0226614fac27124f6cccd248c64ffc80a7f53844
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$185.35
Total PnL
$47.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.41
$4.41
- YES
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$32.50
$22.50
- YES
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$29.25
$20.25
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
27 shares @ 18.3¢·now 66.3¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$18.08
$13.08
- YES
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$13.75
$8.75
- YES
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.25
$8.25
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
75 shares @ 19.9¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$8.92
$-6.08
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
48 shares @ 31.4¢·now 17.2¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$8.25
$-6.75
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.11
$-3.89
- YES
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.75
$1.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.46Mar 10, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$1.96Mar 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$9.07Mar 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$10.34Mar 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$9.90Mar 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$10.13Mar 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$12.41Mar 10, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$29.26Mar 10, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?$6.20Mar 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$9.43Mar 10, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$6.00Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$6.47Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$11.21Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$24.75Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$27.66Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Hornets$0.00Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$0.00Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$0.00Mar 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?$15.00Mar 9, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".