Sane-Sword
0x0285a36393b3a15cacc9c402d713f3b983691471
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$921.69
Total PnL
$-58.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
155 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.41
$2.41
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.42
$5.42
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
114 shares @ 87.6¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.57
$4.57
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.3¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.97
$1.97
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$97.34
$-2.66
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.92
$-2.08
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
139 shares @ 36.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$43.06
$-6.94
- NO
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.71
$-20.29
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$26.09
$-3.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$10.05May 18, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$74.96May 18, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$10.45May 16, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$10.16May 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$50.21May 12, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$31.09May 11, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$51.28May 11, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$55.33May 11, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$50.22May 9, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$50.37May 3, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$50.83May 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.68May 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$100.00May 3, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$100.30May 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$50.00May 3, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?$20.05May 2, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.00May 2, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$100.17Apr 29, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $41.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".