Vain-Estate
0x0287f7ce09cec9219cf8eb02dbb9fc9dea7f9448
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-711.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-484.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$999.00
$-201.00
- NO
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
757 shares @ 88.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$632.44
$-37.06
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
425 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$355.17
$6.38
- NO
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
377 shares @ 92.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$343.13
$-4.16
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.50
$8.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.26May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $517.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".