Gleaming-Scenario
0x02ae94c6c3513f88662ab1d9de0fdefad29d890c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.39
Total PnL
$-40.39
Realised
$-0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
80 shares @ 7.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.81
$-1.19
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
30 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 17?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?
10 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 17?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$6.00May 19, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$5.00May 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$1.00May 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$10.00May 19, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?$2.02May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?$2.18May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?$5.05May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$5.06May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$5.06May 17, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".