Costly-Fold
0x0392d8296ade2f2e7f79861b3f0f7d7b87f584c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$11.22
Total PnL
$-0.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Solly March: Anytime Goalscorer
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.13
$-0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.61
$-0.01
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
322 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.48
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolly March: Anytime Goalscorer$6.17May 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$4.63May 22, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.29Apr 20, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.04Apr 19, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.21Apr 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Apr 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.27Apr 14, 06:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.16Apr 12, 23:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.16Apr 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$9.67Apr 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$9.68Apr 6, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Apr 5, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Apr 2, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.30Apr 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.28Mar 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$1.61Mar 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$1.29Mar 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.16Mar 24, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $12.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".