Serene-Simplification
0x03d13336e4be88d664013e8388f536221aa03990
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-57.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
2088 shares @ 60.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.6K
$323.20
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 42.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$297.00
$41.54
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$227.00
$7.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
1700 shares @ 29.5¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$193.80
$-307.73
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-101.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
60 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$56.01May 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.47May 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.54May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$96.07May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.12May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$27.25May 14, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$28.28May 14, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$28.28May 14, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$27.25May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$28.22May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.02May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$54.29May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?$25.71May 14, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?$25.20May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?$206.73May 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$261.33May 12, 18:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.29May 10, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.21May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$138.40May 9, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$20.40May 9, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $124.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".