Pale-Victory
0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.7K
$633.52
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1400 shares @ 64.3¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$867.28
$-33.12
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
750 shares @ 78.3¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$713.82
$126.15
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
630 shares @ 85.2¢·now 92.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$583.11
$46.60
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
485 shares @ 90.7¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$461.08
$21.33
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
500 shares @ 83.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$452.50
$34.30
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
500 shares @ 78.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$447.50
$57.50
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
500 shares @ 84.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$422.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
400 shares @ 86.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$374.00
$29.00
- NO
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
357 shares @ 82.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$296.31
$1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.59May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$13.60May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.90May 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$78.00May 16, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$41.50May 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$85.00May 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$76.50May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$8.50May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$56.36May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$27.64May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$136.53May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia make Eric Adams a citizen?$18.00May 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$25.50May 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$6.07May 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?$40.00May 9, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$180.00May 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$52.25May 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$49.25May 9, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$1.90May 8, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$90.43May 7, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $39.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".