Hairy-Absence
0x0435111a4edb491825d636c38a62d51cc20ecf1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$44.09
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
753 shares @ 37.7¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$286.22
$2.37
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
790 shares @ 38.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$248.78
$-53.21
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
290 shares @ 69.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.26
$-21.74
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1892 shares @ 9.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.10
$-52.49
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2629 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.15
$-50.85
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
105 shares @ 23.9¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.84
$16.84
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$41.67
$-8.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.50
$2.70
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.98
$-2.02
- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
51 shares @ 45.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.93
$-3.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$333.00May 18, 06:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$239.61May 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-15.5)$10.21May 16, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$132.00May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$102.22May 15, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$132.25May 15, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$34.31May 13, 03:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$202.48May 12, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$173.83May 12, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum flipped in 2026?$64.00May 12, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$145.35May 9, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $57.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".