Thoughtful-Understatement
0x0491441ceb60bb8cba20f65e6d97da76dcdfa47f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.9K
Total PnL
$311.56
Realised
$109.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2579 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$57.89
- NO
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
2500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$62.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$7.50
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1272 shares @ 94.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-6.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$66.00
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
500 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$484.75
$4.94
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
142 shares @ 89.5¢·now 94.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$134.40
$7.29
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.75
$1.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
17 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.43
$0.83
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.29
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$48.68May 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$65.67May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$14.03May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$58.62May 18, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$19.11May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$189.19May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$33.84May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$206.96May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$123.04May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$280.35May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$476.61May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$264.00May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$14.66May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$18.00May 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$12.34May 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$45.00May 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$109.34May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$14.67May 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$100.43May 16, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $406.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".