Spherical-Fringe
0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$158.09
Realised
$5.67
Win rate
50%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$88.71
$78.71
- NO
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
49 shares @ 40.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.46
$27.46
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 72.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.22
$20.22
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$23.62
$13.62
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
30 shares @ 11.8¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.25
$19.72
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.82
$10.82
- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 87.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.26
$0.46
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
26 shares @ 76.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.92
$-0.08
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.42
$9.42
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.03
$9.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.94May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.02May 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.44May 18, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.35May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.03May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.02May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.03May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.06May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.15May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.03May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.50May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.60May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.06May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.08May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.10May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.12May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.32May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".