Caring-Halfsister
0x04befc9fb5be68c8729e5adc71ec0af4d14e14a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$23.41
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
1 shares @ 83.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?$1.00Feb 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$1.00Feb 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24?$1.00Feb 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$1.00Feb 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$1.00Feb 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?$1.00Feb 7, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1.00Feb 7, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$1.00Feb 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$1.00Feb 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".