Ancient-Excursion
0x04ccfb3e0efcdc017db827a9ca2309d374cc48ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$35.8K
Total PnL
$942.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
11355 shares @ 88.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.0K
$-108.20
- NO
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
4428 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$7.28
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
3255 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$40.36
- NO
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
2730 shares @ 73.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$539.60
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2425 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$95.59
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2188 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$31.73
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1775 shares @ 89.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-15.40
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
1215 shares @ 87.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$61.46
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1190 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$77.35
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
1098 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$71.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.50May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.50May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$127.20May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.18May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.32May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.24May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.06May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$18.49May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.39May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$11.33May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$27.82May 16, 01:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.50May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$884.32May 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$78.33May 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$11.28May 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$5.40May 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.14May 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$6.53May 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$1.0KMay 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$6.39May 15, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $551.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".