Shady-Hardcover
0x04f6dab1a3d35fc9ad828536cd0f493013fd311a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$448.93
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$195.40
$-4.60
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
193 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$184.77
$14.51
- NO
Will Trump say "Favorite Chart" in May?
125 shares @ 79.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.78
$-34.22
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.97
$-1.02
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
2912 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
283 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
131 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$213.11May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$11.81May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$9.31May 14, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$19.24May 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$200.00May 14, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$200.00May 14, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?$125.86May 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$38.26May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$114.40May 11, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$17.60May 11, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Autopen" this week?$50.82May 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week?$1.04May 10, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$25.00May 10, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?$100.82May 10, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Favorite Chart" in May?$100.81May 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$25.00May 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$30.00May 9, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$1.3KMay 9, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.8KMay 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" this week?$31.48May 6, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $355.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".