Self-Reliant-Dish
0x06d248d4f372601d24192284bff919a2c05dfb27
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-238.79
Win rate
54%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
928 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$891.31
$6.39
- YES
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
600 shares @ 70.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$363.11
$-60.63
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1112 shares @ 35.9¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$350.96
$-47.94
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
602 shares @ 58.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$333.95
$-17.01
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3118 shares @ 9.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$310.26
$27.38
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
427 shares @ 69.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$292.60
$-6.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1071 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$260.85
$-6.94
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
13461 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.04
$-8.99
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1459 shares @ 17.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.49
$-44.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1329 shares @ 16.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.14
$-50.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.20May 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.40May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.30May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.10May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.26May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.40May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.20May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.92May 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.10May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.57May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.99May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.30May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14.19May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.10May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.07May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.30May 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.21May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.00May 18, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".