Lone-Thread
0x07d1a5fdb08f5be80d2caceff6906dd121bef125
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$33.57
Total PnL
$-20.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
32 shares @ 9.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$21.11
$18.21
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.14
$0.44
- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
27 shares @ 27.5¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.55
$-4.94
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
29 shares @ 9.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$-1.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
77 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.50
$-0.27
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
249 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.12
$-1.87
- YES
Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
685 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.04May 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$2.06May 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.89May 21, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 0 - 0 Damac Saudi Club?$1.93May 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 1 - 1 Damac Saudi Club?$1.85May 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.06May 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05May 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05May 21, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.06May 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$2.04May 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.05May 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04May 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$2.98May 19, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.21May 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.07May 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$10.99May 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.19May 18, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00May 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$20.42May 18, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".