Winged-Nation
0x08a6e4da67d93ab30bb3e4c88c550977866af3cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$712.48
Realised
$511.10
Win rate
98%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
226 shares @ 79.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.59
$20.34
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
227 shares @ 61.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$132.79
$-7.24
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
140 shares @ 83.3¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.42
$12.61
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
77 shares @ 83.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.27
$6.17
- YES
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
446 shares @ 1.4¢·now 13.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$58.41
$52.35
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 26.8¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.12
$-4.18
- YES
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
565 shares @ 0.2¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.86
$36.65
- NO
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
37 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$36.48
$2.30
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
42 shares @ 32.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.75
$16.39
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
30 shares @ 69.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.30
$6.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$0.23May 18, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.75May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.70May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.45May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.20May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.60May 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$1.25May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.65May 17, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$4.90May 16, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.06May 16, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$0.05May 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$0.15May 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.11May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.10May 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$8.80May 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$0.55May 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$1.12May 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$0.35May 16, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".