Palatable-Argument
0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$103.1K
Total PnL
$4.3K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
27487 shares @ 88.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.0K
$1.7K
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
15014 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.9K
$945.51
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
15204 shares @ 82.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.5K
$1.9K
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
10496 shares @ 79.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.2K
$1.8K
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
11150 shares @ 54.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.5K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6833 shares @ 81.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.5K
$928.96
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5980 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.2K
$-90.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
3134 shares @ 75.9¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$596.50
- NO
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
2432 shares @ 68.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$604.92
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
2322 shares @ 59.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$657.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.88May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.64May 18, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.89May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.88May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$140.00May 15, 07:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.48May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$998.61May 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$160.05May 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$12.94May 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$511.68May 14, 01:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.70May 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$7.39May 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$20.00May 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$93.00May 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$265.71May 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$13.29May 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$141.31May 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$643.80May 13, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $265.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".