Fantastic-Residue
0x08f5165fc4daf68a49bf6d84e5e05c981b4828e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$25.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
236 shares @ 84.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.51
$20.51
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15210 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$174.91
$-37.31
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
150 shares @ 89.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.55
$15.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$115.85
$15.85
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$106.45
$56.45
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
627 shares @ 21.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.41
$-55.59
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.36
$-125.64
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.27
$-48.73
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.21
$-63.79
- YES
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
400 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$502.73May 6, 15:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 5, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?$0.00May 4, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$197.60May 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$300.19May 4, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?$500.00May 4, 14:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $283.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".