Yearly-Speech
0x0aea83ab54bc6ef477d2e0950533cf06bf542d29
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.91
Total PnL
$-183.38
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 21?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
635 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
609 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
371 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
314 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
231 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 21?$2.01May 19, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?$4.74May 18, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16?$4.92May 18, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 16?$5.46May 18, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 15?$5.62May 18, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 16?$5.73May 18, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?$0.72Apr 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17?$3.13Apr 16, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?$3.29Apr 16, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?$3.46Apr 16, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16?$3.64Apr 15, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?$3.83Apr 15, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 15?$1.50Apr 15, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 16?$3.96Apr 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$0.37Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 16?$4.09Apr 15, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$0.03Apr 15, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?$0.18Apr 15, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".