Unsteady-Derivative
0x0c158b14900aa6adc02b863acfb70108377f4268
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$567.67
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
288 shares @ 69.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.09
$3.09
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
244 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.24
$-9.76
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
564 shares @ 12.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.23
$-10.77
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.11
$4.11
- NO
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.37
$-11.63
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$22.62
$2.71
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
2203 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-837.32
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
812 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-295.81
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
562 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
380 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$37.32Apr 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$600.00Apr 10, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$0.00Apr 10, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $20.00Apr 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military draft authorized in 2026?$66.67Apr 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$245.81Apr 10, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$200.00Apr 10, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$81.97Apr 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$200.00Apr 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$200.00Apr 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$50.00Apr 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$50.00Apr 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$20.00Apr 5, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$25.00Apr 4, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$50.00Mar 25, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$50.00Mar 25, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$50.00Mar 25, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$50.00Mar 25, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$48.24Mar 25, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$50.00Mar 25, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $95.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".