Average-Masterpiece
0x0c455e571e9fdf245dee3316db2490d044cd06d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$159.02
Total PnL
$-3.86
Realised
$-1.68
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
29 shares @ 65.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.47
$-1.39
- YES
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
17 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.64
$0.05
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
16 shares @ 87.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$15.72
$1.60
- YES
Chirayu Rana sued?
13 shares @ 77.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.70
$-0.71
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
15 shares @ 58.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.71
$0.01
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$7.70
$-0.31
- NO
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
10 shares @ 61.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$6.12
$-0.36
- YES
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.33
$-2.00
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.02
$1.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$0.05May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$0.57May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$0.11May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$0.05May 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.25May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.27May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.93May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.41May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.73May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.73May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.34May 17, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$12.34May 17, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$3.00May 17, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$2.88May 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$5.35May 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$6.54May 17, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$6.67May 17, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$8.09May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.26May 16, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".