Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

• 01
  Price move

  Up 6pp over 24h

  Now 56¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

• 03
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 12.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more members representing the Seattle Seahawks as the winning team of the 2026 Pro Football Championship physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any official reception, ceremony, or meeting with the President by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying representatives must be players, coaches, or other official team personnel formally affiliated with the Seattle Seahawks organization. The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.