Quixotic-Canoe
0x0ccbf59e696d25dee13ff3bea1adc67040d66c69
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$65.65
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
930 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$930.00
$93.93
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
741 shares @ 77.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$716.92
$144.87
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
267 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$262.59
$35.64
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
662 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$218.46
$-26.48
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.50
$18.50
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
294 shares @ 32.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$33.81
$-60.27
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
32 shares @ 49.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$28.32
$12.64
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
28 shares @ 46.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.86
$-6.20
- NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$1.30
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
3 shares @ 19.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.48
$0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$659.28Apr 27, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$44.00Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$18.26Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$215.22Apr 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$170.94Apr 23, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$74.00Apr 23, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$107.54Apr 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$265.86Apr 23, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$531.36Apr 23, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$20.25Apr 21, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$18.36Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$131.76Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$134.73Apr 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$48.06Apr 21, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$100.62Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$400.14Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFannie Mae IPO before 2027?$25.76Apr 13, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFannie Mae IPO before 2027?$72.16Apr 13, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$40.28Apr 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$220.32Apr 12, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $263.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".