Ugly-Closure
0x0ced4f3afa5d9bfbd7ab82fd124896a7160c12b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$24.7K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$540.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16110 shares @ 70.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.6K
$-1.7K
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
20571 shares @ 29.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$4.8K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
6834 shares @ 69.4¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.7K
$4.87
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
7206 shares @ 30.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$349.27
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
3900 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$-175.89
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10899 shares @ 3.9¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$724.77
$298.89
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
32084 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.32May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$43.53May 11, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.32May 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.22May 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.32May 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.32May 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.17May 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.32May 11, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.62May 11, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.32May 11, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.32May 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.27May 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.47May 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14.84May 11, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $28.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".