Alarmed-Eyeball
0x0d195cff7f8f08606ec5e468e59126661cbe8f93
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-15.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
11712 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-992.90
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
1516 shares @ 28.1¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.85
$-153.97
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
658 shares @ 23.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.25
$-1.42
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
104 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.16
$29.46
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 41.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.00
$-104.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
315 shares @ 22.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.67
$-25.37
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
1231 shares @ 14.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.99
$-143.58
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
142 shares @ 15.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.04
$4.37
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
325 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-36.28
- NO
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
187 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$2.50Apr 29, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $12.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".