Fat-Daffodil
0x0d4d947a822ca479f297448b923f098e2e361674
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$908.36
Total PnL
$-647.73
Realised
$2.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?
231 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$231.00
$27.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 20?
132 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$130.08
$8.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?
94 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$93.64
$19.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 20?
59 shares @ 85.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$53.92
$3.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 20?
50 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$50.00
$3.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 20?
48 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$46.36
$1.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 20?
40 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$37.00
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 20?
37 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$37.00
$2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on May 19?
36 shares @ 93.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$35.98
$2.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?
34 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$31.62
$0.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.02May 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 20?$88.41May 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 20?$28.47May 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 20?$36.98May 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?$9.52May 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$177.06May 19, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$27.44May 19, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 20?$36.74May 19, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 20?$30.03May 19, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 20?$14.81May 19, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on May 19?$1.05May 19, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?$31.41May 19, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 20?$50.84May 19, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 20?$16.63May 19, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 20?$47.09May 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$15.05May 19, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.09May 19, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 20?$4.70May 19, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 20?$7.80May 19, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 20?$25.54May 19, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".