Grown-Billion

• NO

  Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

  1851 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $1.5K

  $-37.56

• NO

  Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

  414 shares @ 73.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $332.91

  $30.71

• NO

  Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

  300 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $299.99

  $3.60

• NO

  Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

  290 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $232.00

  $14.50

• NO

  Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

  200 shares @ 62.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026

  $153.00

  $27.11

• YES

  Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

  150 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026

  $149.98

  $6.80

• NO

  Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

  188 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $148.39

  $-1.88

• NO

  EU debt downgrade before 2027?

  166 shares @ 68.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $146.04

  $32.18

• YES

  Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

  268 shares @ 40.9¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027

  $110.08

  $0.15

• NO

  Iran Nuke before 2027?

  100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $90.55

  $5.55

• TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$83.00May 18, 08:15 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$29.25May 15, 00:10 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$29.24May 15, 00:10 UTC
• TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$11.88May 14, 03:14 UTC
• YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
• MAKER_REBATE$1.55May 13, 00:45 UTC
• YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
• REWARD$3.58May 13, 00:00 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$176.89May 12, 21:50 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$106.80May 12, 21:26 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$17.80May 12, 21:23 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$4.68May 12, 20:50 UTC
• TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$8.35May 12, 20:04 UTC
• TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$9.86May 12, 19:41 UTC
• TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$3.85May 12, 17:55 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$26.17May 12, 17:34 UTC
• TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$84.08May 12, 17:23 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$23.67May 12, 17:05 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?$214.06May 12, 14:17 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?$82.33May 12, 13:57 UTC

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