0x0fa25657d1dd7d5152ce9f5f0e28a696549905aa
0x0fa25657d1dd7d5152ce9f5f0e28a696549905aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$850.76
Total PnL
$-12.11
Realised
$19.43
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Blue tsunami in 2026?
410 shares @ 51.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$229.60
$16.90
- NO
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
73 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.86
$1.70
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.00
$5.50
- NO
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$45.50
$-6.50
- NO
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
55 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.16
$3.87
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
50 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$34.25
$0.25
- NO
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
45 shares @ 58.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.08
$6.97
- NO
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
35 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.27
$4.72
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
60 shares @ 34.7¢·now 38.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.80
$2.00
- YES
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
70 shares @ 24.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.35
$4.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$0.09May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$0.89May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.95May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.53May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?$11.44May 17, 19:45 UTC
- MERGEWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$5.00May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.28May 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$0.62May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?$3.98May 17, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$5.00May 17, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$11.89May 17, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?$50.00May 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$2.40May 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stuttgart finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$1.08May 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$3.60May 16, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4.32May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4.32May 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4.32May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4.32May 16, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$27.55May 15, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".