Closed-Hearth
0x10253fb514377b869610d6808e631e32f8cc1587
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$13.65
Total PnL
$-65.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- DOWN
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 20?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?
14 shares @ 35.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.92
$-1.08
- WIZARDS
Spread: Heat (-18.5)
111 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-64.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 20?$5.08May 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$5.02May 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?$5.13May 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-18.5)$14.32Apr 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-18.5)$2.90Apr 10, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-18.5)$1.46Apr 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-18.5)$1.39Apr 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Heat (-18.5)$44.87Apr 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Thunder$2.15Apr 10, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Lakers$2.32Apr 10, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Grizzlies$3.61Apr 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Lakers$2.00Mar 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Thunder$2.00Mar 25, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Grizzlies$3.00Mar 25, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$2.20Mar 25, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$2.04Mar 8, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 6?$5.05Mar 8, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Wizards$0.00Mar 6, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Raptors$0.00Mar 6, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$0.00Mar 6, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $212.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".