Firm-Chasm
0x10d5defe8d9689e2dc90246ea8cb6018d8a933fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$340.71
Total PnL
$-633.09
Realised
$127.84
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?
257 shares @ 88.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$195.62
$-32.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?
77 shares @ 91.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$56.99
$-12.69
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 24?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$47.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$16.25
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$13.75
$6.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?
28 shares @ 11.4¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.19
$2.99
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.15
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 13?
1043 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 13?
760 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?
535 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$4.98May 22, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$6.56May 22, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 24?$45.82May 22, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?$7.00May 22, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$33.22May 22, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$9.50May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$8.90May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$18.69May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$18.69May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?$45.50May 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$27.71May 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 22?$49.90May 22, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?$24.29May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$16.66May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?$15.00May 22, 00:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87May 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$43.50May 22, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$14.24May 22, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$8.90May 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$18.00May 22, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".