Handmade-Marimba
0x11192208e304bd9850d993bd470d6a6f89f3fd7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$13.73
Total PnL
$-83.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
70 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
39 shares @ 12.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$-2.62
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.96
$-3.04
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
93 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.07
$-0.08
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
350 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$1.20May 12, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.20May 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.76Apr 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Apr 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.00Apr 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$5.00Apr 7, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.03Apr 7, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Apr 2, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.12Apr 1, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Mar 24, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Mar 16, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.90Mar 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 15, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.00Mar 9, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".