Smooth-Heirloom
0x11a4c16d55eb0401d6bda5d979de261ea682b1e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.3M
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1876185 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9M
$938.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
154122 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$152.7K
$-77.06
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
143620 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$141.5K
$104.56
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
655083 shares @ 20.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$122.2K
$-14.7K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.8K
$5.00
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4868 shares @ 83.4¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$-2.43
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1993 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.9K
$-3.99
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
510 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$502.96
$21.16
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
500 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$493.25
$-1.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
502 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$439.07
$-17.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$16.58May 18, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$25.02May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.19May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$62.55May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.34May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$104.25May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.17May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.19May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$333.59May 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$16.28May 18, 02:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.73May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$251.79May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.99May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$61.21May 17, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$94.23May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$18.64May 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$74.58May 17, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$18.00May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$32.39May 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$144.62May 17, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $71.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".