Unruly-Beat
0x12202a47a8615777bc10605bad51465c4992741a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$716.17
Total PnL
$-366.78
Realised
$55.49
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
419 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$278.63
$14.66
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
384 shares @ 56.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$263.04
$48.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
368 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.40
$-3.68
- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
63 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.84
$4.73
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
13 shares @ 72.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.26
$-1.12
- YES
Will "Trump" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
411 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-172.62
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 8 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
334 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-130.26
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
301 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-132.44
- COLORADO STATE RAMS
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams
236 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-33.75
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?
37 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$164.32Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$404.95Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$356.00Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$343.54Apr 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$69.33Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$1.1KApr 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$126.40Apr 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? $0.62Apr 13, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by March 31?$4.00Apr 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$162.24Apr 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$24.61Apr 12, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$71.53Apr 12, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$46.69Apr 12, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$403.44Apr 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$309.14Apr 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$399.32Apr 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$161.46Apr 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$89.44Apr 9, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$38.80Apr 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$8.80Apr 9, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $247.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".