Defensive-Hierarchy
0x1244522bdf0b7fd0e4701a7fb926fd8a60a0a103
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$43.10
Total PnL
$-32.04
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
42 shares @ 32.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.36
$13.54
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
26 shares @ 19.1¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$-2.92
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19?
47 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$22.00May 11, 09:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$16.00May 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$10.00May 7, 17:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$6.12May 5, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$47.76May 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?$2.05May 3, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $13.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".