Worried-Poem
0x12b8e7c160f3ced67a22b7eadf764cd1c2c4479c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$103.4K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
24000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.7K
$8.7K
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.9K
$8.9K
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.9K
$6.9K
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
10200 shares @ 92.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.0K
$550.72
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
6931 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.9K
$22.43
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
5506 shares @ 88.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$498.45
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
4674 shares @ 83.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$-57.15
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
24000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.3K
$-8.7K
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
3333 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.3K
$89.74
- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
3463 shares @ 88.3¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.7K
$-360.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.10May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$2.09May 18, 04:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.95May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.36May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$521.52May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$170.56May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$127.92May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$114.95May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$78.64May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$52.91May 17, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$99.99May 17, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$272.63May 17, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$81.77May 17, 16:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.42May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.82May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$376.19May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$28.58May 16, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$20.57May 16, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $100.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".