Personal-Bake
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$75.3K
Total PnL
$-16.1K
Realised
$-16.6K
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
69345 shares @ 50.7¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.9K
$9.7K
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
56538 shares @ 49.7¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.2K
$-8.9K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9402 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.4K
$-47.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
823 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$788.02
$23.46
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
1738 shares @ 38.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$703.77
$37.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
670 shares @ 93.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$635.83
$12.06
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
556 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$480.53
$19.44
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3200 shares @ 14.1¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$448.00
$-2.74
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
480 shares @ 76.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$439.46
$74.44
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
472 shares @ 68.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$433.89
$113.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$52.89May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.65May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$456.04May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$8.88May 18, 07:09 UTC
- REWARD$20.60May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$90.00May 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$8.00May 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$76.75May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$207.00May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.00May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$359.93May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$14.74May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$280.00May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$24.41May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$29.42May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$95.41May 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$755.43May 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$60.75May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.85May 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$69.89May 17, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $164.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".