Playful-Tissue
0x12e1494090b72885894f617bbc42e64578f051f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.90
Total PnL
$-629.88
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.15
$3.05
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.65
$1.65
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 29?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 20?$0.13May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 20?$0.08May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 20?$0.13May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?$1.80May 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 20?$0.60May 20, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 20?$0.33May 20, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on May 20?$0.11May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 20?$0.86May 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on May 20?$0.04May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 20?$0.14May 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 20?$1.03May 20, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 20?$0.13May 20, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 20?$0.33May 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 20?$0.15May 20, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on May 19?$0.60May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on May 19?$1.88May 18, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".