Academic-Elicit
0x139e054b6d98dbedb2043e3e799db551350ba5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$136.35
Total PnL
$-26.67
Realised
$-3.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.17
$1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 20?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.15
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 20?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.54
$-0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 20?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.28
$0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
15 shares @ 66.8¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.12
$-0.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 20?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$8.87
$-1.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$8.16
$-1.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on May 20?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.24
$-2.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.91
$-3.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 20?
12 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.87
$0.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 20?$13.23May 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 20?$1.65May 20, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?$8.71May 20, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 20?$5.89May 20, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 20?$3.11May 20, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 20?$2.08May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?$1.16May 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?$0.00May 20, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?$1.15May 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?$0.05May 20, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?$0.02May 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 21?$1.15May 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?$0.54May 19, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 20?$0.03May 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$1.78May 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 20?$10.14May 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20?$1.79May 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 20?$10.21May 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 20?$1.10May 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?$4.75May 19, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".