Sticky-Defendant
0x13a195d290ab53d40dcdbb277393d4ea2cceb979
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$946.78
Total PnL
$-105.05
Realised
$2.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
478 shares @ 90.5¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$432.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
120 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$114.30
$1.50
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
96 shares @ 92.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$92.63
$3.52
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
69 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.06
$1.28
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$61.50
$12.50
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.25
$-2.75
- NO
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
30 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$29.93
$0.92
- YES
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.65
$1.65
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1030 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$22.04
$-101.56
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.51
$0.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$0.00May 15, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 15, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$16.68May 15, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$80.00May 15, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$176.70May 15, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.1KMay 15, 01:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$7.81May 8, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$3.25May 8, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMThe Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani$0.00May 8, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 8, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $27.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".