Fragrant-Dandelion
0x140891ee5c1214859198b80f0a5a4880ba57b4f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$44.61
Realised
$106.10
Win rate
62%
118 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
70 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$70.03
$0.61
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?
53 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.92
$0.37
- NO
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
50 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$49.88
$0.63
- NO
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$49.67
$0.06
- NO
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
46 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$45.95
$0.59
- NO
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
42 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$42.17
$0.55
- NO
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
42 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$41.94
$0.85
- NO
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
42 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$41.85
$0.55
- NO
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
49 shares @ 56.8¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.37
$13.40
- NO
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
41 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$41.18
$0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.45May 18, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.86May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$4.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$0.79May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?$0.04May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.37May 18, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdoulaye Toure be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$10.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$6.66May 18, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$0.00May 18, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cagliari be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$5.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?$9.99May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?$8.74May 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$1.00May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Mertens be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.07May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.12May 17, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$0.13May 17, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00May 17, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.73May 17, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.00May 17, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 118 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".