Scrawny-Normalisation
0x1414a2cce044963a2de179927b539b1ddfdb18fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$244.16
Total PnL
$-20.28
Realised
$3.50
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 65.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$82.76
$17.76
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.75
$-3.75
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.51
$-0.03
- NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
414 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$22.75
$-18.61
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?
1276 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.91
$0.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 18?$0.30May 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.17May 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.02May 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.13May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.07May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.14May 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.07May 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.14May 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.07May 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.13May 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.06May 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.17May 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.08May 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.14May 18, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.07May 18, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.14May 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.07May 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.13May 18, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.07May 18, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$0.11May 18, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".