0x14285de292fc487946472836a3b972f6b534e173
0x14285de292fc487946472836a3b972f6b534e173
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.95
Total PnL
$-288.25
Realised
$8.17
Win rate
100%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
2863 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$10.02
$7.16
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
13886 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.94
$-6.94
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11683 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.84
$-5.84
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
1528 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.29
$0.76
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
911 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.37
$0.46
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
651 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.98
$0.33
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Washington Nationals win the 2026 NL East title?
158 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$0.47
$0.32
- YES
Will Mikey Berchild be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
892 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.45
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$16.01May 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$11.99May 8, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viktor Gyokeres be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.06May 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bradley Barcola be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.16May 7, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Desire Doue be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.59May 6, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.26May 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 5, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01May 5, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.80May 4, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01May 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02May 4, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02May 4, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02May 4, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02May 4, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$10.59May 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.06May 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026?$0.02Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 2, 2026?$0.04Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?$0.04Apr 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?$0.06Apr 28, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".