Venerated-Carol
0x143817bec276b3e1afd304cec36c13808e00c697
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$24.21
Total PnL
$-64.39
Realised
$0.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?
50 shares @ 40.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$19.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
54 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-41.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET
36 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-16.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?$10.30May 25, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$5.16May 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?$10.30May 25, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$75.94May 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET$17.00May 21, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.03May 21, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.41May 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$40.68May 21, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.10May 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.09May 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.01May 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.03May 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$25.23May 21, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$25.49May 21, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$9.97May 21, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$4.13Mar 21, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.04Mar 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.00Mar 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.73Mar 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.10Mar 21, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".