0x14b2f9e5b0fa76d877e307aa82d296691d2dac16
0x14b2f9e5b0fa76d877e307aa82d296691d2dac16
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$304.79
Total PnL
$-51.58
Realised
$2.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
117 shares @ 22.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$72.05
$46.27
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
167 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.64
$2.84
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
66 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.05
$1.65
- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
55 shares @ 21.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.21
$8.58
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
137 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.25
$-13.75
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
60 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$18.48
$-1.19
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
24 shares @ 31.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.47
$9.95
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.15
$-10.85
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
29 shares @ 33.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.50
$6.86
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
122 shares @ 23.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.56
$-16.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 16, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$0.00May 15, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$30.37May 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$90.28May 13, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.00May 12, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$49.49May 12, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$0.03May 11, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$61.34May 8, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$43.80May 8, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$2.65May 8, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$6.48May 8, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$0.00May 8, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?$0.00May 7, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$4.22May 6, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$1.40May 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$13.06May 6, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$14.94May 6, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $21.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".