0x15666aa41478464d9826bec865b4afaf9e74d210
0x15666aa41478464d9826bec865b4afaf9e74d210
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$212.11
Total PnL
$-211.84
Realised
$-47.19
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
417 shares @ 25.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$47.98
$-59.78
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
45 shares @ 56.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.84
$6.85
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
62 shares @ 65.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.62
$-15.38
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
71 shares @ 56.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.73
$-18.27
- TEAM FALCONS PH
Game Handicap: Team Falcons PH (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming PH (+1.5)
21 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$21.07
$2.11
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.50
$-7.50
- YES
Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$16.13
$-13.87
- AP.BREN
Game Handicap: TLPH (-1.5) vs AP.Bren (+1.5)
12 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$12.19
$1.22
- YES
T20 Blast: Essex vs Sussex - Completed match?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.55
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGame 5: Any Player Penta Kill?$10.02May 19, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 5: Any Player Penta Kill?$10.02May 19, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 5: Any Player Penta Kill?$10.02May 19, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Essex vs Sussex - Completed match?$10.01May 19, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Essex vs Sussex - Completed match?$10.01May 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$8.70May 19, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$0.00May 15, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?$0.00May 15, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$0.00May 15, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$0.00May 15, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$0.00May 15, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$0.00May 15, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$0.00May 15, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$0.00May 15, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?$0.00May 15, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$0.00May 15, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$0.00May 15, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$0.00May 15, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$0.00May 15, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$0.00May 15, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $9.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".