Hollow-Chiffonier
0x15b17bb0a4af7d8e55b968e0e5de9a986a37a8e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$46.43
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$-364.29
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.50
$4.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?
30 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$12.89
$-0.30
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
13 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$11.57
$0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?
1235 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.47
$-75.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
2230 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?
1156 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-402.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
1106 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-588.83
- YES
Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?
948 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-258.02
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
729 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-349.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?$1.95May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?$1.53May 20, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?$5.26May 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$9.90May 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$2.23May 20, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$1.58May 20, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$5.66May 20, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$18.46May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$3.45May 20, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.73May 20, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.58May 20, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.79May 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$2.16May 20, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$1.20May 20, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$3.08May 20, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$4.50May 20, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$3.41May 20, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.16May 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$1.92May 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$0.59May 20, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".